Skip to main content

Do Up and Down Order in Asset Price Matter for 2X or 3X Bull ETFs?

This post tackles the problem if there are fixed number of ups and downs with a magnitute of 1% in asset prices, whether leveraged ETFs are more dangerous?. This simulator shows a random order of fixed number of ups and donws of 2% for 2x bull and 3% for 3x bull.

Percent Change in 1x bull asset:

Number of Ups: Number of Downs
t 1x return 1x price 2x price 3x price
0 0 100 100 100

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Which Asset Class Had the Best Performance During the 2008 Financial Crisis?

In this article, I want to explore which asset, ETFs, MFs, Stocks, did best during the 2008 financial crisis. I will compare the investment results against the result of SPY, since it represents the overall market. The scenario is investing right at the highest point of S&P 500 index right before it crashed during the crisis. The date is Oct 9, 2007  when the index reached 1,565.15. I will compare the returns of each asset against SPY in the following order: Investing until the bottom of the crisis at 676.53 on Mar 09, 2009 in order to simulate downside risk. Investing until the S&P 500 index closed above the previous high at 1,568.61 on Apr 09, 2013 in order to simulate recover ability. Investing until the bottom of the Covid crisis at 2,304.92 on Mar 20, 2020 in order to simulate a series of market crashes. Performance By Ranks Oct 9, 2007 to Mar 09, 2009 SHY  return is 8.848% AGG  return is 7.390% LQD  return is -6.793% HYG  return i...